Not necessarily a model to be applied in different realities. But the
European integration process has at least been perceived frequently as
a valid point of reference for those interested in promoting regional
integration in developing countries. This has been the case especially
when countries of a Latin American sub-region voluntarily took the political
decision of working together with the aim of gradually building some modality
of economic community, including common rules and institutions.
In that respect, the more notorious experiences have been those related
with the Central American, Caribbean, Andean and southern South American
nations. That perception could be one of the reasons of concern raised
by the actual EU crisis in the Mercosur region. In no way is it the only
reason. Perhaps the impact of the future evolution of Europe in the global
economy attracts greater attention in South American governments and businessmen.
But keeping in mind that Mercosur also has strong difficulties achieving
its main objectives, it is useful to raise the question about what could
eventually be learned from the difficulties facing the EU. This could
be particularly useful taking in consideration that after the Mercosur Summit in Mendoza (June 2012) a debate about its future
has been open in its member states. It seems that at least three main lessons
could be drawn by them from the EU crisis:
The first one is that voluntary integration among sovereign nations requires
permanent adaptations to changes in their domestic and international environments.
It is naïve to pretend a ? xed plan toward any long term objective.
Roadmaps and working methods should be permanently adapted to new circumstances.
How to produce this adaptation preserving, at the same time, the accumulated
assets of years of working together, is then a big challenge, and not
only for the EU. This will most probably require a kind of metamorphosis
and this implies a lot of political skills. Adaptations become more necessary
when citizens began to doubt the convenience for their own country to
continue working together with nations with whom they share a geographic
space. It could arrive at a point in which they perceive the integration
process as part of their problems and not of any solution. Sometimes this
is the result of not recognizing the problems of the people of another
member country as being their own problem. If that is the situation, a frank explanation to the citizens
of the different countries of what the costs could be for them given a
failure in the integration process seems to be necessary. Particularly
if the political leadership perceives that they dont have rational
options to the idea of working together with their partners.
Preserving the win-win perceptions among the people of the member countries
is then one of the main challenges faced by the construction of any voluntary
integration process. This is more dif? cult in a context of deep global
economic and political transformations as we are facing these years. The
impacts of those changes sometimes are very different from one member
country to another. It could then weaken the idea of being in the same
boat, or increase the perception of the advantages of navigating alone
to better tackle the challenges posed by new realities. The notion of
each nation for itself could then jeopardize the core idea
of working together among nations of the same geographic space, especially
if institutions with the capability of expressing a common vision do not
exist or are not able to undertake the necessary leadership.
The second lesson is that there is no unique model or formula to produce
that adaptation to an environment of deep changes. There are obviously
limits to the imagination about how to tackle the main problems that are
faced. They could be the result of political, economic and legal constraints.
But at the same time, with a mix of political will and technical capabilities
and eventually, good luck- it is always possible to draw mechanisms
that could contemplate the new realities and the different interests of
member countries. Most likely this will imply heterodox and ? exible formulas
including those requiring multiple speeds, variable geometry and à
la carte approaches.
And the third lesson is that to succeed in the difficult task of integrating
sovereign nations through a voluntary and long term process implies, at the same
time, effective common disciplines and a clearly defined national strategy
by each of the participant countries. The dynamic interaction of both
factors seems to be crucial precisely to preserve the win-win
situation among the members of a common integration process, and here
is where ? exibility of concepts, mechanisms and instruments become so
important. It facilitates the continuous adaptation of the process to
new realities. And this becomes more important when those new realities
have different impacts in each of the member countries due, eventually,
to asymmetries of relative power, dimension and degree of economic development
among them. Perhaps the more important conclusion that we could draw from
the recent European experience is that in critical moments, when the main
idea of working together among sovereign nations could raise doubts in
some or in all the participant countries, what becomes necessary is a
frank debate in each country with a large participation of their
citizens about the political and economic costs of failure and
the feasibility of different options. What is normally referred to as
a Plan B. If this option exists, it would be logical to follow
it and to withdraw from the integration process.
But if for participant nations the costs of failure are high, and at
the same time a rational and feasible doesnt appear to exist option
to the membership of an integration process, the debate should concentrate
itself on how to continue working together, introducing all the adaptations
that would be necessary to assure the effectiveness of the process and,
at the same time, to preserve its win-win condition.
|